With football being by far not only one of the most entertaining sports in the world, but also extremely unpredictable, deciding exactly how many goals will be in a match can be very tricky. This is why predicting if there will be more or less goals than a set number gives you more chance of winning and increasing your profits.
Goals over/under is the ability to predict if there will be more goals or less than the number of goals the bookies gives you. The bookies target is at point five, because in football you cant get half a goal which means the bets will always be settled as a win or as a loss. However, some bookies will offer the .5 and the whole number. The reason for this is so you have an insurance on your bet, meaning if your bet is “Over 2.0 / 2.5 goals” and the final score is 2-0, this means you will get half your stake back. If more than 2 goals go in at the final whistle, then the profits will be from the whole amount you bet on in the first place. These are usually under the betting market of Asian Lines.
|Best Bookies for under/over goals bets|
Goals over/under bet types
Essentially, the target number given by the bookie can go as high or low as the bookies wishes, but there aim here to make sure the loss amount for them wont be too great while also enticing the punter to bet on the market. This is why they offer a wide selection of different types of goals over/under bets, and we have a list here which explains them for you:
- Over 0.5 Goals – If you select under, this means that the match will finish as a goalless draw (0-0), which does happen often in some leagues. Selecting over in this market, is by far the more likely, as all you need is for either team to score at least one goal for your bet to come in.
- Over 1.5 goals – From now on, it becomes partly luck, or partly skill, depending on how much research you put into it. Two attacking teams may need to be playing against each other for this selection to win, or one team which is far more dominant than the other.
- Over / under 2.5 goals – The profit for this market is huge if you select over and rightly so. The likely hood of this bet coming in isn’t as likely as the others, mainly because the score at the final whistle must have 3 or more goals in to win. If you select the under market, which also happens to be the most likely, then 0-0, 1-0,2-0,1-1 will all be classed as a win for the betting market.
- Under 3.5 goals – This is a good bet to make if you have two relatively low scoring teams, according to previous matches, but be sure the make this bet pre-match. If you do this in live betting, it’s unlikely you will get a bet of value.
Top tips and predictions for goals over/under bets
Its important to note, as it is with all our betting terms, that top tips that we give are from experience and feedback. This being said, if your wanting to be successful in this betting market, we highly recommend that you take a close look out our top tips for you here:
Weather – Rain, snow and wind can be a huge downfall on a game of football, not only for the fans but for the players too. It will slow the game up and evidently decrease the chance of there being a lot of goals.
Form – This tip probably lies in the heart of all our betting terms because it is so important and useful. You must do some research at least in order to see how the teams have done in previous matches and to see if they are a high or low scoring team.
Head to head – Another bit of research for you to do, simply check to see how these teams have done against each-other in the past. Understandably this isn’t to be relied on, but its definitely something to note.
Match importance – In football there are league games and cup games and even friendlies. League games usually consist of the manager playing his strongest squad however cup games vary depending what round they are in and what there current situation is in the league.
Team news – Be sure to check sports news sites in order to see if the squad is suffering with any key players missing due to injury or suspensions which may cause them to miss the match.
So those are our main tips and tricks for when it comes to betting over / under in football. However, a common question that gets asked is whether or not its worth betting on this market or similar markets like bets on corners or odd/even goals and is it profitable? We have devised below a pros and cons list so you can decide for yourself:
Pros for goals over/under bets
- Only two possible outcomes
- Even if the team you back loses, you can still win your bet
- Very simple to follow
- You bet could be won before the final whistle has gone.
- May take a while to build up big profits if your betting small
- Hard to win in accumulators
- Might be better off doing it as singles or doubles.
As mentioned previously, it’s extremely key to check all of the above points, such as weather, team news and the teams form. Its important as well to look out for the teams social media accounts for any updates there before the match kicks off. This way you may be able to get a head start over others and even a bookie. Our final point is that we always recommend being able to watch the match live if possible, as this way you can see how the game Is going and know if its suitable to cash out or not.
Refunds on goal line
Asian goal lines are great because they offer what is called a refund line. This is presented in the bookies site like so: 2.0 / 2.5. This basically states that if you select ‘over’ for this, then if the final score adds to 2 exactly, then you will be refunded half your stake. If the final score is over the 2.5 mark, then you will win the full amount. Asian Lines can also be presented by the quarter, instead of the half, such as 1.75. If you bet this 0 or 1 goal in the game would be classed as a win, 2 goals would give you half your stake back and 3 or more would be classed as a loss. It’s also important that you remember that if you bet on the number exactly (e.g 2 goals) and there are 2 goals in the match, you will receive the full refund.
Goals over/under in other sports:
Total goals as an alternative market
This is great in some ways and not so beneficial in others. The main idea here is that the goal line that is offered in the majority of bookies is to a .5, because this was you cant have any complaints if you lose. There can also be no draw in this aspect. However on certain sports and occasions the goal line is offered to the whole number, and if you were to bet on man united vs Chelsea over 2 goals in the match and the final score is 1-1, this means the total goals is two and you have matched the score line. In this scenario, you will be paid back half your stake in most circumstances with bookies. Be sure to check the rules of the bookie in their FAQs in order to know exactly how they operate.
Multi-goal sub market
Over / under goals statistics
Statistics are useful if you actually use them and pay attention to them. They can be found on multiple forums or statistic sites like Soccerstats.com, as well as some of the best bookmakers provide complex insights. That is a great way of understanding the teams. It’s important to not only check form, but also individual players and to see how they have been doing in the season so far. If see that a player has scored a few goals in his previous matches, then it could be good to bank on the fact he might get some in that match you wish to bet on, and this would result in a high scoring game.