Understanding Premier League Betting 2020

Understanding Premier League Betting 2020

Since its formation in 1992, the English Premier League (EPL) has steadily grown into the planet’s elite football league bar none. The most heavily wagered competition in world sports, the EPL is broadcast globally, attracting new audiences in North America, the Far East and beyond. The funds generated by broadcast rights are actually part of its key success as the money is distributed more reasonably than in other top European leagues where top sides tend to rake in the majority of the funds.

In England, while by no means perfect with as little revenue sharing as possible, the money is still distributed better than other leagues meaning that even the bottom sides can attract top talent, either for the coaching staff or on the pitch. This is also why it is not unusual to see teams near the bottom beat teams at the top and why players will leave historically bigger clubs overseas to play in England, no matter the size of the club.

In its current format, the bottom three sides each season will be relegated and replaced with three teams from what is today known as the Championship. The Premier League, along with Spain’s La Liga, Germany’s Bundesliga and Italy’s Serie A, are one of Europe’s domestic league’s that provides four qualifiers for the European Champions League. The fifth placed finisher is given a Europa League place, alongside the winners of England’s two domestic cup competitions. Essentially though, the EPL is one of sport’s biggest competitions because it provides so many betting opportunities and all the more challenging at that.

 

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Popular Premier League Bets

The English Premier League is the top flight of English football and the most popular league globally. Already the world’s most wagered on tournament, Premier League betting continues to grow in popularity with each passing year. All over the world, millions of pounds are bet on all manner of bet types each and every matchday of the season.

However, as one of the world’s most competitive football leagues, it is no easy competition to predict. In Spain, we pretty much know that the title will play out between the two mega clubs of Barcelona and Real Madrid, while in Germany Bayern Munich regularly go virtually unchallenged each year. Perhaps that’s why there are more Premier League bets placed each season than on the Bundesliga and Italy's Serie A combined.

Online betting sites will open books and promote odds on just about anything when it comes to Premier League football. Such a well wagered competition will work well with betting markets ranging from outright bets, where bettors wager on the overall winner of a tournament, to betting on individual Premier League games with such as Over/Unders and Both Teams To Score bets (BTTS). Let’s break down some of these bets to get a better understanding.

Season long outrights

The obvious place to start is the season long outright betting market. Whether it be the eventual winner – who could ever have predicted Leicester winning in 2016 with odds of 5000/1 – or a top four finish or even to get relegated. Then there bets such on individual people such as first manager sacked in any given season, player of the year or top scorer. You name it, there’s a market for it.

Win half time full time

One popular football betting market among for those looking for value is the Half Time / Full Time odds in which bettors are required to correctly predict what the outcome of each half of a football match will be. There are nine possible outcomes in this particular betting market and these are;

  1. Home Team / Home Team
  2. Home Team / Draw
  3. Home Team / Away Team
  4. Draw / Draw
  5. Draw / Home Team
  6. Draw / Away Team
  7. Away Team / Away Team
  8. Away Team / Draw
  9. Away Team / Home Team

Owing to the fact that there are nine possible outcomes with this betting market, there are bigger odds available than your average 1X2 betting market, in which there are only three outcomes.

1×2 Betting Market

For those that simply wish to bet the standard home win, draw or away win we would recommend the 1X2 football betting market which some sites might refer to as Three Way, Full Time Result or Match Betting. Essentially, the three possible outcomes of a given match are represented by 1 which is for a home win, 2 for an away win and X for the draw. For further bettor’s insurance, it is possible to combine two of the three possible outcomes, using a Double Chance bet where you choose to bet on 1X, X2, or 12 which basically means home win or draw, draw or away win, and home win or away win. Obviously, doubling up will provide with a greater chance of winning but for reduced odds.

Win from behind

A To Win From Behind bet is a wager where you back a team that will losing at any point in the game but will ultimately go on to triumph. Because your chosen team to win needs to be losing at some point and thus will need more than one goal, your odds on this market will generally be greater than a straight out win.

Top scorer betting

This particular bet is as old as the game itself. Well, almost anyway. Put very simply, while this bet can be laid at any time of the season, it works better in the preseason and simply involves you nominating a player in the Premier League to be the highest goal scorer come May. You can back your prediction up with a little money happy in the knowledge that joint top scorers- it was a three way split in 2019 – count.

Relegation / Top 4

Another one that works better preseason is deciding which teams you fancy will finish in the top 4. This basically means European Champions League qualification, and you can also bet on which teams, or three teams, will end up occupying the bottom three places meaning they will be spending the following season toughing it out one degree under in the English Football Championship.

Over/Under X Amount Of Goals

Over/under X amount of goals betting is another one of the most popular football betting markets and works because it doesn’t require you to pick a winner or an exact score line. Just simply pick a minimum number of goals that will be scored in any given match. Bookies offer a huge selection of possible final goal totals for a match and the odds will differ accordingly depending on the likeliness of the outcome. Naturally, the most popular goal margin to bet on is 2.5 goals.

Premier League Points Handicap

Handicap betting, where each club in the Premier League is given a points handicap before a ball is even kicked, has always proved to be a popular market among the betting community. Very briefly, it works by capping the preseason favourite to win the league at scratch, or a points mark of 0. All of the teams in the league are then assigned a points mark right the way down to the relegation candidates who can usually be backed for around the +40 points mark. Over the course of the Premier League season, the points accumulated in real life are added to their handicap points and the club with the greatest amount of combined points is the winner of this particular market.

Other Bets

The market is so massive that you can pretty much bet on the top 2, top 6, top or bottom 10. Even with relegation odds, you are not limited to just the clubs that you think will go down, you can even bet on whether a club can and will survive the drop. Typically, this market is listed as Will Stay Up and you can also find prices on Not To Finish Top 4, Not To Finish Top 6, To Finish Bottom and Top or Bottom At Christmas. Literally, something for everybody.

Running down the wing Mo Salah - Premier League Betting

Premier League Betting Tips

Ready to bet? Not yet you’re not. Remember the following before you part with your hard earned cash.

Research Before Betting

As always, do your homework before you even think about parting with your hard earned cash. There are just so many variables with sport that instinct alone is simply not enough. As an example, a team that starts the season with an attacking style of play but replaced their manager for a more defensive minded coach which will almost certainly witness an impact on their star striker’s choices of finishing as the league’s top scorer. It is factors such as this that we need to pay attention to.

On a week-by-week basis, you must take in to account all the influencing factors that could determine the result of your bet. Mid-season transfers, injuries and suspensions would all come under this remit, as would head to head records and whether or not a side is playing at home or away. Recent form is another one of the more important research points to study.

Just as you would with horse racing, study the form to give yourself a good idea of well a team are currently doing right now. Also, due to modern day squad demands, especially in the case of the biggest teams, it would be wise to factor in squad rotation. Therefore, it’s important you have a look at the starting line-ups before putting money on a game.

Harry Kane, Spurs

Search for value bets

Another good idea is to seek out the biggest value odds to maximise your take home amount. The simple way to do this is open up multiple accounts (more on this later) and shop around, specifically hunting out the best odds for the bet you’re interested in backing. With any luck, you will almost certainly find an online bookmaker that is promoting a team or players who have a far better chance of winning than the odds might otherwise suggest.

Check statistics

While stats are unfortunately unable to provide you with a guaranteed win (such a thing doesn’t exist), they are able to provide you with a wealth of information that means you can make informed decisions when loading up your betting slip. Just about every single thing that happens on a Premier League football pitch is recorded for further empirical data based research and you can use that to your advantage.

Whatever bet it is that your thinking of laying, ask yourself, then seek out the answers to, the relevant questions. This could be how many Premier League matches typically end goalless or how many Premier League matches end with both teams scoring. How does the Premier League compare with other leagues in terms of goal averages? How often are Premier League matches drawn at both halftime and fulltime and what is the regularity of teams losing after they were ahead at half time? What about winning margins and which are the most common? How likely is a match to end with more than 2.5 goals hitting the back of the net and, if it’s quite common, then maybe it would pay off to have a wager on the over 2.5 goals market. The answers are out there – now go and find them!

Maintain A Win/Loss Record

It is a good idea to keep a detailed record of you wins and losses, marking out profits and when and why you have taken a financial hit. A nice little spreadsheet should do the trick. This way, hopefully, you will know when and where you went wrong and also account for any lost pennies.

Open Multiple Betting Accounts

As we mentioned above, consider shopping about and opening up numerous betting accounts with the vast array of reputable operators out there. Also, it is worth bearing in mind that you can find even better odds on betting exchange markets such as Betfair and Smarkets.

Premier League West Ham

Best bookmakers for Premier League Betting

There are a great many betting operators out there that will offer great innovative ways to bet on the Premier League but we have selected four which we are happy to recommend.

BetKing

Formed in 2018, this innovative new online bookmaker offers a 100% deposit bonus to get the ball rolling. A site almost built for football betting, you will find no shortage of Premier League betting markets, a stunning 157 in fact, all running alongside markets on 16 other sports, including tennis, basketball, golf, hockey, pool, MMA, virtuals and more. At Betking you can also enjoy a 225% accumulator bonus, where a percentage is added to your accumulator bet with a minimum of five selections which rises with each added selection making this a great place for Premier League acca betting.

Bet365

Bet365 are, quite simply, the biggest online bookmaker in the world and almost as old as the web itself. This UK bookmaker, who until not very long ago were actually the owners of a Premier League club, are perfect for betting on the English top flight and, what’s more, they also provide a free streaming service for members. As for the welcome bonus, bet365 will match any first time deposit you make from £5 – £100 and, once activated, you’ll be ready to take on the Premier League and all the betting opportunities she offers.

Betfair

Offering a slightly different option, the world’s biggest online betting exchange, Betfair offers a huge range of markets the king of which is football. They also offer other popular betting options, such as football, American Football and Basketball. As the pioneers of cash out, Betfair are proud to offer this on many of their betting options not just football. Fans of the English Premier League will be pleased to learn about Betfair’s around the clock streaming services via Betfair TV as well as their welcome offer of a 100% matched deposit up to £100.

The Teams

In all, a total of 49 clubs have played in the Premier League since its inception and only six of these have been ever presents, participating in every campaign to date. These clubs are, unsurprisingly, Arsenal, Chelsea, Everton, Liverpool, Man Utd, and Tottenham.

Premier League History

Prior to its formation, England’s football league was split between four divisions and numbered accordingly one through four. Following the Football Association’s (FA) breakaway, the top flight was cut adrift from the others and run independently. The shiny new 24-team Premiership went live on 15 August 1992 and Sheffield United’s Brian Deane scored its first ever goal after just 5 minutes as his team would go on to beat Manchester United.

The inaugural members of the Premier League were; Arsenal, Aston Villa, Blackburn Rovers, Chelsea, Coventry City, Crystal Palace, Everton, Ipswich Town, Leeds United, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Middlesbrough, Norwich City, Nottingham Forest, Oldham Athletic, Queens Park Rangers, Sheffield Utd, Sheffield Wednesday, Southampton, Tottenham Hotspur and Wimbledon.

In its first season, Manchester United were crowned champions, their first top flight in 26 years at the time. This season also witnessed the relegations of two-time European Cup winners Nottingham Forest, as well as Middlesbrough and Crystal Palace. The number of participants was reduced to 20 for the 1994-1995 season and has remained the same ever since.

Golden boots - Premier League Betting

Memorable Moments

In over a quarter of a century’s existence, the Premier League has thrown up more than its fair share of memorable moments. Below is but a mere taster of what this thrilling competition has given us in the past.

Leicester City 5000/1 Premier League Champions

Only 15 months prior to being crowned 2016 Premier League champions, Leicester City had pulled off a great escape when, having broken a tournament record of being bottom for 140 days, they avoided relegation against all odds. No other team has ever been bottom for so long and avoided relegation and yet somehow the newly promoted Foxes not only survived but finished in 14th place. Then, over the summer, Leicester fired manager Nigel Pearson, the man who had pulled off the remarkable feat. In his place came, Claudio Ranieri who, in a career that spanned 14 clubs, had never won a top-level championship at any of them. That, plus a team full of low league journeymen in a squad that was spending 1/8th of what the top teams spend, is why they started the season with an outright bookies price of 5000/1. Still, thanks to Premier League’s sheer knack for the amazing, it was a 5000/1 bet that came in all the same.

Manchester City’s Last Minute Title Win

If Leicester are the most remarkable winners in football’s modern era, then Manchester City’s title win in 2012 is the most remarkable victory. True, this wasn’t the best of goals and perhaps, on this occasion, City were had not been the most impressive of champions, but there simply has never been a more dramatic finish to the end of a Premiership season than this. And, for added good measure, it was played out between local rivals too. This was the season where everything boiled down to the literal last seconds with City chasing a goal that would settle the title itself and take it away from the bitter rivals at the same time. For The Citizens it would mean putting an end to a 44-year wait by beating their greatest rivals to first place and, thanks to a last kick of the match with a sweeping strike of Sergio Aguero’s boot, we were treated to a moment that would go down in history.

Jamie Vardy Leicester - Premier League Betting

Unibet

The ambitious Unibet is a truly top class betting site and fast becoming a market leader. Offering a £40 money back offer to new customers, this ever growing website that packs in an enormous selection of betting markets, drawn from several leagues across more popular sports like rugby, basketball and football, in no small way the English Premier League. One area where Unibet truly excel is in live streaming and the accompanying commentary, the perfect way to enjoy yourself while betting on the Premier League.

Conclusion

The Premier League is a bettor’s paradise but, don’t be fooled, profits don’t come easily. You must work for your success. But, given that there is an almost limitless amount of different bet types available, you are sure to find the best bet for you and, with a little extra work, you could be on your way to securing regular big wins before long. We have done our best to list as many bet variants, offer some betting wisdom and provide a history of the type of thing this league can throw up. If you’re familiar with the strategies we have proposed, then you are already one leg up on the competition. Now, keep confidence in yourself, your strategy and back the research you have wisely undertaken. And remember that no-one wins 100% of their bets, that’s just life. Now, it’s over to you.

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